GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

Pharma Stocks Outlook for the week – 08 to 12.02.2016 (Earnings to drive sector, Lupin seen positive)

Pharma Stocks Outlook for the week – 08 to 12.02.2016
(Earnings to drive sector, Lupin seen positive)

Earnings for the December quarter of major pharmaceutical companies
are likely to decide the trend for the sector's stocks next week, with Lupin
likely to maintaining its positive momentum after reporting a higher-thanexpected
consolidated net profit.

While gains in Lupin's stock are likely to be capped at 1,880 rupees, it
is expected to be in positive territory for the week. Pharmaceutical
companies reporting their earnings next week are Sun Pharmaceutical
Industries, Cipla, Dr Reddy's Laboratories, Aurobindo Pharma,
Wockhardt and GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals.

The sector's biggest company, Sun Pharmaceutical, is seen reporting an
18% decline in consolidated net profit at 11.71 bln rupees. The company
will report its earnings on Feb 12.

We expect remediation process in Halol plant to continue to impact core
sales growth and EBITDA margin in Q3FY16E (Oct-Dec. The company's
employee cost is also expected to be higher due to one-off compensation
costs to outgoing employees of Ranbaxy.

On Wednesday, Cipla is seen reporting a 23% rise in consolidated net
profit at 4.04 bln rupees. We expect strong numbers, as decline in
Nexium (generic) remains limited.