GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

This Week Sectors Report - 02.04.2018 To 06.04.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Indian Market Outlook For The Week - 02 to 06.04.2018

Indian Market Outlook For The Week - 02 to 06.04.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

 The Domestic benchmark indices are likely to trade in a narrow range next week as investors will look for cues from global markets and eye RBI's comments on the health of the banking sector and on future trend in interest rates. The RBI will hold its first bi-monthly policy meet for 2018-19 (Apr
Mar) and will detail its view on the monetary situation and the economy on Apr 5. Investors will also be keen on listening to Finance Minister Arun Jaitley's keynote address at a book launch on Apr 4. We are most likely to be tracking global markets but we feel that the Nifty 50 should consolidate above the 10000-point level next week. If there are no global headwinds or if the risk-off mood on protectionist moves between the US and China continues, then the stock market may stabilise and rise next week. However, large-cap stocks are likely to outperform the broader market next week as midand small-cap shares may continue to stay volatile and see some sharp corrections.

 Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Metal Stocks Outlook For The Week – 02 to 06.04.2018

Metal Stocks Outlook For The Week – 02 to 06.04.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

 The shares of metal and mining companies are likely to gain next week taking cues from the broader market. Shares of metal companies may weaken if concerns of a trade war resurface over the extended weekend. Steel producers will continue to be in focus for new developments in the acquisition of stressed assets, especially Essar Steel.

 Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Pharma Stocks Outlook For The Week - 02 to 06.04.2018

Pharma Stocks Outlook For The Week - 02 to 06.04.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

 The shares of pharmaceutical companies are expected to trade in a narrow range next week due to lack of interest towards the sector from foreign institutional investors. Foreign institutional investors have continued to initiate short positions in the pharmaceutical companies due to the uncertainty over their earnings, and the weakness in the US drug market. Indian drug makers derive a majority of their earnings from the US.Shares of pharmaceutical companies will continue to under perform the broader market next week as well. This week, the Nifty Pharma index rose 0.4% compared with 1.2% gain in Nifty 50 index. In the broader market, benchmark indices are likely to remain subdued on global cues and as investors await the outcome of the Reserve Bank of India's two day monetary policy meeting next week.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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I.T Stocks Outlook For The Week - 02 to 06.04.2018

I.T Stocks Outlook For The Week - 02 to 06.04.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

 The shares of information technology companies are likely to rise next week due to a likely increase in IT spend in the US following tax cuts. We expect domestic IT companies to perform better in 2018-19 (Apr-Mar) as they see a pick-up in demand. Accenture Plc's robust performance in Dec-Feb and its upward revision of revenue guidance for 2017-18 (Sep-Aug) supported sentiment. Depreciation in the rupee against the US dollar will also help Indian IT companies in the upcoming week as they export a major chunk of their services.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Bank Stocks Outlook For The Week - 02 to 06.04.2018

Bank Stocks Outlook For The Week - 02 to 06.04.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

 After a slight rebound in shares of banks this week, the stocks are expected to remain range bound in the beginning of the upcoming week due to lack of cues. However, during the later part of the week, the Reserve Bank of India's bi-monthly monetary policy outcome will lend cues. This is the central bank's first monetary policy meeting in 2018-19 (Apr-Mar) and also the first after the Punjab National Bank fraud. Following the revised framework for the resolution of stressed assets by the RBI, banks are expected to report higher provisioning and recognition for stressed assets for Jan-Mar. Moreover, any substantial movement in the broader market is likely to lend direction to the sector.

 Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Telecom Stocks Outlook For The Week - 02 to 06.04.2018

Telecom Stocks Outlook For The Week - 02 to 06.04.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

 The movement in the telecom sector next week is likely to be company specific as there are no major triggers for companies before the JanMar earnings are released in April. A major sector wide development expected in the near term is the release of the draft National Telecom Policy, and the government also plans to release its roadmap for rollout of 5G services by June. We retain a negative outlook on the sector for the near to medium term on account of persistent pressure on tariff which started in September 2016 with the launch of Reliance Jio Infocomm Ltd's services. The new entrant's parent Reliance Industries may also continue to see some weakness in its stock next week.

 Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Cement Stocks Outlook For The Week - 02 to 06.04.2018

Cement Stocks Outlook For The Week - 02 to 06.04.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

The shares of cement companies are seen falling next week due to concerns over prices despite an expected increase in demand. While demand is expected to grow 7-8% annually between 2017-18 (Apr-Mar) and 2019-20, the capacity utisation of companies is expected to be around 75% during the period, limiting their pricing power. Shares of UltraTech Cement Ltd may gain next week as the company said it has received approval from the Competition Commission of India for its bid for bankrupt Binani Cement Ltd. In the broader market, benchmark indices are likely to remain subdued on global cues and as investors await the outcome of the Reserve Bank of India's two-day monetary policy meeting next week.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Auto Stocks Outlook For The Week - 02 to 06.04.2018

Auto Stocks Outlook For The Week - 02 to 06.04.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

The shares of cement companies are seen falling next week due to concerns over prices despite an expected increase in demand. While demand is expected to grow 7-8% annually between 2017-18 (Apr-Mar) and 2019-20, the capacity utisation of companies is expected to be around 75% during the period, limiting their pricing power. Shares of UltraTech Cement Ltd may gain next week as the company said it has received approval from the Competition Commission of India for its bid for bankrupt Binani Cement Ltd. In the broader market, benchmark indices are likely to remain subdued on global cues and as investors await the outcome of the Reserve Bank of India's two-day monetary policy meeting next week.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Oil Stocks Outlook For The Week - 02 to 06.04.2018

Oil Stocks Outlook For The Week - 02 to 06.04.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

 The shares of public sector oil refiners Indian Oil Corp, Bharat Petroleum Corp and Hindustan Petroleum Corp are seen consolidating next week. The stocks of oil majors have been trading in a range bound manner for the past three-four weeks, despite robust fundamentals in the medium to long term. The near term trend for these stocks on technical charts remains slightly subdued. Shares of these oil companies may get impacted by movement in international prices of crude oil. The movement in crude oil prices is expected to have a more pronounced impact on shares of upstream companies such as Oil and Natural Gas Corp and Oil India. However, there is a downside risk to the earnings of downstream public sector undertakings in an elevated crude price environment and increasingly populist measures by the government. The June delivery contract of Brent Crude oil futures have risen 2.5% to $68.96 per barrel over the last one month.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Capital Goods Stocks Outlook For the week – 02 to 06.04.2018

Capital Goods Stocks Outlook For the week – 02 to 06.04.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

 The shares of companies in the capital goods sector are seen trading within a range next week. However, individual stocks such as those of Larsen & Toubro Ltd may rise on the back of order wins. In the medium to long term, companies in the sector including L&T, Engineers India Ltd, Siemens Ltd and Thermax Ltd are expected to benefit from rising capital expenditure seen in the core industries such as oil and gas, steel and cement. Public sector undertakings in the oil and gas sector are expected to create a number of large orders for companies in the capital goods sector as they look at capacity expansion of its refineries. Similarly, capacity expansion by cement and steel companies is also expected to create opportunities for the sector. In the broader market, benchmark indices are likely to remain subdued on global cues and as investors wait for the outcome of the Reserve Bank of India's two day monetary policy meeting next week.

 Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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