GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

This Week Sectors Report - 05.02.2018 To 09.02.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

India Market Outlook For The Week: 05 to 09.02.2018

India Market Outlook For The Week: 05 to 09.02.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

The Domestic benchmark indices are seen volatile next week, with Nifty 50 likely to decline further due to selling pressure after the Introduction of the long-term capital gains tax on equity investments. The Oct-Dec earnings results of companies and trend in global markets will also set the tone for Indian markets next week. The rise in bond yields hurt global markets and investors fear that any weakness in overseas equities will add to woes in the domestic market. The recent rise in indices to peak levels and the high valuation of stocks caused by the strong liquidity is now cause for worry, and sharper fall could see investors turn nervous and sell more. In his Budget speech on Thursday, Finance Minister Arun Jaitley said longterm gains from equity investments worth over 100,000 rupees will be taxed at 10%, while tax on short-term gains was kept unchanged at 15%. This move is aimed to increase revenue and the government expects 200 bln rupees in 2018-19 (Apr-Mar) and higher revenues in subsequent years from the long-term capital gains tax. The Budget also asked the Securities and Exchange Board of India for proposals to encourage large corporate tap the bond market for 25% of their funding requirement. While this could lead to a deepening of the bond market, the credit disintermediation will impact the bank's growth. The rise in fiscal deficit and expenditure, introduction of long-term capital gains tax and beginning of volatility in global markets are factors that will lead to short-term pressure in stock markets.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Pharma Stocks Outlook For The Week – 05 to 09.02.2018

Pharma Stocks Outlook For The Week – 05 to 09.02.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

 Earnings for the December quarter of Lupin and Cipla scheduled to be reported next week, will lend direction to shares of pharmaceutical companies. However, institutional investors who seek to minimise losses in their portfolio because of weakness in the market may buy shares of these companies due to their attractive valuations. Shares of pharmaceutical companies underperformed the benchmark indices this week as weak earnings of Dr Reddy's Laboratories, announced last week. The broader market is expected to decline further after falling nearly 3% this week as investors continue to sell shares in the aftermath of the re-introduction of long-term capital gains tax in the Budget.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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FMCG Stocks Outlook For The Week – 05 to 09.02.2018

FMCG Stocks Outlook For The Week – 05 to 09.02.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

 The stocks of most fast moving consumer goods companies are seen trading higher next week, as the government, in the Budget for 2018-19 (Apr-Mar), increased its outlay on the rural sector, which is likely to boost overall consumption in the country. Among the allocations announced was a sum of 100 bln rupees for the development of animal husbandry and fisheries sector, which is likely to help companies such as Godrej Agrovet Ltd, which sells cattle feed. Bias seen positive on government infra spend SWING RANGE (NIFTY CAPITAL GOODS) SUPPORT: 19750/19630/19300 RESISTANCE: 20200/2600 STOCKS TO WATCH HAVELLS, LT, BHEL, BEL May decline tracking weak broader market SWING RANGE (BSE TELECOM) SUPPORT: 1400/1365 RESISTANCE: 1478/1500 STOCKS TO WATCH TATACOMM, IDEA, BHARTIARTL The tax structure for cigarettes has been left unchanged, which could improve prospects of companies such as ITC Ltd. This comes as a big relief to cigarette companies, which have seen a staggering 202% tax growth since 2011- 12.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Capital Goods Stocks Outlook For The Week – 05 to 09.02.2018

Capital Goods Stocks Outlook For The Week – 05 to 09.02.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

 The shares of capital goods companies may see modest gains due to positive sentiment from the higher allocation for infrastructure development in the Union Budget for 2018-19 (Apr-Mar). The increased budgetary support for infrastructure, particularly the roads and railways will be a big positive for the sector. Finance Minister allocated a record 5.97 trln rupees for infrastructure sector in the Union Budget, while the Indian Railways' got a capital expenditure of 1.48 trln rupees for the period. However, weak sentiment in the broader market after the government re-introduced long-term capital gains tax on shares, will cap gains in capital goods stocks next week.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Telecom Stocks Outlook For The Week – 05 to 09.02.2018

Telecom Stocks Outlook For The Week – 05 to 09.02.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

 Introduction of long-term capital gains tax on equities along with the weak financials of telecom companies are likely to keep the sector's stocks under pressure next week as well. Idea Cellular and Reliance Communications both posted losses for the December quarter, while Bharti Airtel reported an 11% sequential decline in its Seen taking cues from broader market next week SWING RANGE (BSE BASICMAT) SUPPORT: 3400/3345 RESISTANCE: 3480/3545 STOCKS TO WATCH ACC, ULTRACEMCO, RAMCOCEM, AMBUJACEM consolidated net profit. The weak financials and continuing pressure on tariff due to cutthroat competition, led by Reliance Jio Infocomm, may make investors jittery about the sector. Next week, the broader market is seen extending its decline and may be volatile. The Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy on Wednesday will be eyed.

 Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Cement Stocks Outlook For The Week – 05 to 09.02.2018

Cement Stocks Outlook For The Week – 05 to 09.02.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

 The shares of cement companies are seen trading in range next week and are likely to take cues from broader market. The measures announced in Union Budget for 2018-19 (Apr-Mar) Thursday are seen strengthening demand for cement as the government continued to focus on infrastructure creation. While the allocation for roads and bridges was raised 17% to 594 bln rupees, the capital outlay for railways was also increased to 1.48 trln rupees from 1.31 trln rupees in the previous year. The government also allocated 275 bln rupees to affordable housing and set a target of building 5.1 mln rural houses in 2018-19, which will increase the demand for cement. Investors will also keep an eye on Oct-Dec earnings of cement companies. Amongst major cement manufacturers, ACC Ltd will declare its results for the quarter ended December on Feb 8, while Dalmia Bharat Ltd will announce its results on Feb 7.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Oil Stocks Outlook For The week – 05 to 09.02.2018

Oil Stocks Outlook For The week – 05 to 09.02.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

 The shares of state-owned refiners--Indian Oil Corp, Bharat Petroleum Corp and Hindustan Petroleum Corp are expected to consolidate next week. Despite robust fundamentals, the near-term trend for these stocks remains subdued on technical charts. Cues from the broader market and movement in international prices of crude oil are also expected to have a bearing on stocks of oil companies. Prices of crude oil on global and domestic exchanges are likely to rise next week due to continued compliance with the output cut agreement between Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and other major oil exporters. However, high oil production in the US may cap gains. A rise in oil prices will be a positive for stocks of upstream companies such as Oil and Natural Gas Corp and Oil India. As for the broader market, domestic benchmark indices are seen opening down due to weak cues from global markets and as sentiment is expected to remain sour after the Union Budget for 2018-19 (Apr-Mar) re-introduced long term capital gains tax on equity investments. 

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Auto Stocks Outlook For The Week – 05 to 09.02.2018

Auto Stocks Outlook For The Week – 05 to 09.02.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

 The shares of most automobile companies are likely to fall next week on expected weakness in the performance of shares of heavyweights such as Maruti Suzuki India Ltd and Tata Motors Ltd.  PSU bank shares seen under pressure next week The new launches by automobile manufacturers at the Auto Expo 2018, to be held in Greater Noida from Wednesday to Feb 14. Automobile companies released their monthly sales data for January with the country's largest carmaker Maruti Suzuki's total sales rising 4.8% on year to 151,351 units. The earnings of Tata Motors Ltd, the highest weighted stock in the Nifty Auto index with 21.6% share, to be detailed on Monday. Strong Land Rover sales, a low base for volumes of the India business and sales of subsidiary Jaguar Land Rover's Chinese joint venture is expected to lift Tata Motors Ltd's OctDec consolidated net profit 25 times on year to 23.8 bln rupees. The stock of Mahindra and Mahindra Ltd is likely to rise as the Union Budget for 2018-19 (Apr-Mar) allocated higher funds for roads and highways, which is likely to boost rural economy, leading to an expected spur in demand for tractors. Hero MotoCorp Ltd will detail its earnings on Tuesday and is likely to post a bottomline of 8.24 bln rupees. Eicher Motors Ltd, which will detail its earnings on Wednesday, is likely to post consolidated net profit of 5.38 bln rupees.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Bank Stocks Outlook For The Week – 05 to 09.02.2018

Bank Stocks Outlook For The Week – 05 to 09.02.2018


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

 The shares of public sector banks are seen remaining under pressure in the coming week, after the Union Budget for 2018-19 (Apr-Mar) announced a higher than expected fiscal deficit target of 3.3%. Higher then expected fiscal deficit will lead to surge in bond yields, leading to treasury losses. The shares of some private banks are seen rebounding somewhat next week, after most bank stocks ended this week in the red. The expected bounce-back follows a slew of Budget announcements promoting the rural and agriculture segment, and lending to micro, small and medium enterprises. This is seen leading to higher credit off-take as well as improvement in asset quality in the agriculture segment. Shares of State Bank of India and Bank of Baroda will be in focus next week as the banks announce their Oct-Dec earnings. Bank of Maharashtra, Punjab National Bank, City Union Bank, Dhanlaxmi Bank, Andhra Bank, Central Bank of India, Syndicate Bank and UCO Bank will also declare their results in the coming week. Union Bank will declare its results on Saturday. Bank Stocks Outlook: PSU bank shares seen under pressure next week.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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