GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

This Week Sectors Report - 11.12.2017 To 15.12.2017


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Indian Market Outlook For The Week – 11 To 15.12.2017

Indian Market Outlook For The Week – 11 To 15.12.2017


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

The stock indices are seen volatile next week with key events, including release of domestic economic data, Assembly elections in Gujarat, and the US Federal Reserve's policy review lined up. Sentiment for domestic equities, however, remains positive, given that opinion polls predict a win for incumbent Bharatiya Janata Party in Gujarat, and due to renewed value-buying by institutional
investors. However, investors will closely monitor the exit polls. A win for BJP would mean at least a 2% rise for the Nifty 50. If the market perceives that the BJP is losing its foothold in Prime Minister Narendra Modi's home ground, then a sharp correction could follow. Data on Consumer Price Index-based inflation for November and Index of Industrial Production for October will also be closely monitored. On the global front, the US central bank's decision on interest rates and commentary on future course of action, including the reduction of its balance sheet, will also provide cues. The Nifty 50 is seen in a range of 10000-10400 points next week. Yesterday, the 50-stock index ended at 10265.65, up 98.95 points or 1% from the previous close, while Sensex closed at 33250.30 points, up 301.99 points or 0.9%.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Auto Stocks Outlook For The Week – 11 To 15.12.2017

Auto Stocks Outlook For The Week – 11 To 15.12.2017


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

The stocks of most automobile companies are expected to trade within a narrow range next week while stocks of Maruti Suzuki India and TVS Motor Co are expected to rise more. Maruti Suzuki
became the sixth largest Indian company by virtue of market capitalisation yesterday. The New Delhi-based company replaced State Bank of India Ltd at the sixth spot last day, a day after overtaking Housing Development Finance Corp at the seventh place. Maruti Suzuki's market capitalisation was 2.74 trln rupees, and that of SBI was 2.71 trln rupees. The company's stock
price has hit a record high of 9,119 rupees. The company continues to be a top pick among the back of its market leadership position with 44% share in passenger vehicles, vast dealership network for premium and non-premium cars, popular product portfolio and robust order book. A consistent uptick in sales volume of premium models such as Baleno hatchback and Vitara Brezza compact sport utility
vehicle continues to raise the average selling price for the company and aids a strong positive outlook. Dzire sedan is the latest popular entrant and has witnessed sales of 100,000 units in October within just five months of its launch. We also continue to have a positive outlook on two-wheeler manufacturer TVS Motor Co Ltd, which entered super premium segment in global and domestic markets with the launch of its much-awaited 312cc Apache RR on Wednesday. The bike is available at 205,000 rupees, ex-showroom. TVS Apache RR 310 is the most advanced and exclusive offering
in our product portfolio, as it is a manifestation of 35 years of learning from the race track, coupled with cutting-edge technology," Joint Managing Director Sudarshan Venu was quoted as saying in the company release. Seen stock specific; Next week, will also keep an eye on any outlook from the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers, which will detail domestic automobile sales figures for November on Monday. Next week, Nifty Auto index may trade between 11200- 11458 points.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Telecom Stocks Outlook For The Week – 11 To 15.12.2017

Telecom Stocks Outlook For The Week – 11 To 15.12.2017


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

The Movement in telecommunication sector is likely to be stock-specific next week amid severe stress on companies' financials. Bharti Airtel Ltd is the top pick in the sector because, due to its position as the market leader, the company seems to be best placed to weather the pricing storm caused by Reliance Jio Infocomm Ltd. The market leader in terms of both subscriber base and revenue is expected to benefit the most from the ongoing consolidation in the industry. Last week, as report, the company is expected to be the biggest beneficiary when 100 mln subscribers of Tata Teleservices, Aircel and Reliance Communications are up for grabs in the next two or three quarters. The company has already announced the acquisition of Tata group's telecom services on a cash-free, debt-free basis, apart from domestic operations of Telenor India and Tikona Digital Networks.
Bharti Airtel is expected to lose its market leader position after Idea Cellular Ltd and Vodafone India Ltd complete their merger next year. However, Chairman Sunil Mittal last week said he hopes the company will reclaim the top spot by March 2019. RJio had disrupted the sector after it launched its services in September last year. After providing free services for six months, the company started paid services at extremely cheap tariff, which led to a pricing war in the sector and put severe pressure on other companies' earnings. Earnings for Oct-Dec may continue to be under pressure as the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India cut interconnects usage charges to 6 paise from 14 paise, effective Oct 1. Interconnect usage charges are paid by the operator from whose network a call is made to the network the call lands on. About 4% of market leader Bharti Airtel's operating income comes from net revenue from interconnect usage charges. A positive for the sector could be the likely acceptance by Department of Telecommunications of TRAI's recommendations last week to consider raising the overall cap on spectrum held by operators. A Cabinet nod for measures approved by the
Telecom Commission--the highest decision-making body in the telecom department--to ease financial stress in the sector, is also awaited

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Bank Stocks Outlook For The Week – 11 To 15.12.2017

Bank Stocks Outlook For The Week – 11 To 15.12.2017


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

Bank stocks are seen trending higher next week, both on technical factors and on favorable market sentiment for the sector, but the updates on cases flagged by Reserve Bank of India for possible referral to National Company Law Tribunal as possible source of volatility. A key factor that will lead to volatility in bank stocks is the update on the second list of accounts sent by RBI to banks, and whether these accounts will be sent to National Company Law Tribunal when the Dec 13 deadline lapses. Any update on the quantum of allocation in first tranche and structure of the 2.11-trln rupee public sector bank recapitalisation programme will also spur upswing in the state-owned bank space,
creating greater space to end more. Seen up next week on hope of better demand Momentum for PSU
refiners may continue Sector are taking heart from recent Reserve Bank of India data, which shows that credit growth is on an uptick and close to 10%, a fact that the monetary policy statement also noted. This is good for banks from a denominator impact; this will help them work on the non-performing asset ratio and overall numbers when they declare earnings.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Cement Stocks Outlook For The Week – 11 To 15.12.2017

Cement Stocks Outlook For The Week – 11 To 15.12.2017


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

The stocks of cement companies are seen gaining next week on hopes of a recovery in demand for the commodity. ACC Ltd and Ambuja Cements Ltd are looking positive and are likely to gain. "The volatility seen in last two weeks is likely to continue in UltraTech, although it is also looking positive. Cement demand is seen increasing in Jan-Mar because of a pick up in affordable and rural housing, and infrastructure projects such as roads and irrigation. The Supreme Court had last month banned the use of petroleum coke in Rajasthan, Haryana and Uttar Pradesh to tackle pollution in these regions. The court had also asked other states and Union Territories to consider banning the fuel. Petroleum coke is used as a fuel in cement production and is cheaper than coal. The ban on petroleum coke will increase fuel price for companies. The passing of this increased price to consumer
means it wouldn't hurt their profits much.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Oil Stocks Outlook For The Week – 11 To 15.12.2017

Oil Stocks Outlook For The Week – 11 To 15.12.2017


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

The shares of state owned refiners and retailers Indian Oil Corp, Bharat Petroleum Corp, and Hindustan Petroleum Corp may have a strong showing next week, continuing with the current spell of momentum that these scrips are witnessing. In terms of fundamentals, the three state owned oil marketing companies continue to be on solid ground, benefiting from healthy domestic demand for fuel as well as robust core refining and marketing margins, which lend a positive outlook to these stocks. In the absence of any major sectoral triggers, stocks of oil companies are expected to be guided by the movement in crude oil prices, news flow and the sentiment in the broader market.
Futures of crude oil are expected to rise globally next week due to the decision by Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and some other major exporters to extend their deal to cut output. Last week, OPEC and some other oil exporters such as Russia had agreed to extend the deal
to cut output by 1.8 mln bbl per day for another nine months to end of next year. However, the record high US output is likely to blunt the efforts of OPEC to reduce oversupply, thereby capping the gains.
Last week, crude oil output in the US rose by 25,000 bbl per day to a record high 9.707 mln bpd, according to the US Energy Information Administration. This was the seventh straight week when the US output had risen. Based on an average weekly increase of 25,000 barrels per day, as has been the case in recent weeks, production for the year as a whole would climb by an additional 1.3 mln barrels per day. This would be enough on its own to cover the entire growth in global oil demand. US
petrol inventories and distillate stocks had risen by 6.8 mln bbl and 1.7 mln bbl, respectively, which will also weigh on the prices. Among other negatives for crude oil is a stronger dollar index which has gained nearly 1% since the start of December. Stocks of upstream players such as Oil and Natural Gas Corp and Oil India may move in line with the movement in crude Down next week in line
with broader market oil prices next week. The fundamentals for these stocks have started improving, as strong oil prices will lead to a strong financial performance for upstream companies. Any major shift in the dollar-rupee exchange rates could also impact shares of oil companies. If the dollar weakens against the rupee, it could add to the woes of upstream companies. This is because upstream companies price oil and gas in dollar terms and a weak greenback pulls down the actual price realisation in rupee terms. On other hand, refining companies stand to gain from a weaker dollar, as it would reduce their outgo towards purchase of crude oil and gas.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Capital Goods Stocks Outlook For The Week – 11 To 15.12.2017

Capital Goods Stocks Outlook For The Week – 11 To 15.12.2017


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

The stocks of capital goods companies are expected to rise marginally next week due to the mid term review of the Foreign Trade Policy 2015-20. The government on Tuesday announced incentives worth 84.50 bln rupees to boost exports of goods and services from labour-intensive segments and micro, small and medium enterprises, as well as to increase employment The changes in the Foreign Trade Policy are aimed at easing trade norms and making India a significant player in global trade.
To tide over the transitional period following the implementation of goods and services tax, the government also increased the validity of duty credit scrips to 24 months from 18 months. Stocks of companies in the sector can also see positive movement on the back of industrial production data to be announced on Tuesday. Sector major Larsen & Toubro Ltd is likely to gain next week, after the
company recently announced a large order win worth 16 bln rupees from Hindustan Petroleum Corp Ltd. The company is expected to trade positively in the medium term as it is well poised to benefit from recovery in infrastructure spending in the hydrocarbon sector. The company is likely to be a key beneficiary of the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas' huge target of over 2 trln rupees envisaged for various projects in the next five years. Most thermal power companies, including Pune-based Thermax Ltd, and CG Power & Industrial Solutions Ltd are expected to trade in line with the broad market over the short to medium term.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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FMCG Stocks Outlook For The Week – 11 To 15.12.2017

FMCG Stocks Outlook For The Week – 11 To 15.12.2017


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

The stocks of most fast moving consumer goods companies are likely to move in a narrow range albeit with a positive bias next week, while Hindustan Unilever Ltd and ITC Ltd are seen gaining with spurt in trade volumes. Post demonetisation and rollout of goods and services tax, HUL's focus has been to increase direct coverage and reduce dependence on wholesale channel by giving higher incentives to retailers. Rural areas are witnessing development with improvement in infrastructure.
The demand scenario has been stable in both rural as well as urban markets, with an increasing number of mom-and-pop stores looking to transform into modern retailers.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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Metal Stocks Outlook For The Week – 11 To 15.12.2017

Metal Stocks Outlook For The Week – 11 To 15.12.2017


             Equity Cash/Futures/Options Segment 

The positivity in stocks of metal and mining companies in the past two sessions is set to continue all through next week. The Nifty Metal index fell 2.4% from Monday till Wednesday. The stocks then rebounded, with the index ending 3.1% higher than Wednesday. In the steel sector, iron ore prices are striking a bullish stance. The price of imported ore in China on Monday, was up by 8% from the previous week, leading to Chinese steel prices increasing this week. India steel prices are subdued compared with the rise in global prices, due to higher production growth of 6% for Apr-Oct. The rising steel prices in China are positive for the Indian steel sector as it may increase demand for domestic steelmakers. Demand for steel in India is expected to grow at around 5% in 2018, driven by a sustained increase in government infrastructure spending, according to a report from Fitch on Dec 1. Zinc prices are expected to stay strong, as the metal's market is expected to remain in deficit till December. This is likely to help Hindustan Zinc Ltd maintain its margins at least for the ongoing quarter, indicating a positive trend for its stock in the near future. Aluminium prices have been  subdued on the back of lower-than expected supply cuts in China, and may continue to put pressure on local producers Hindalco Industries and National Aluminium Co. Fitch has a negative outlook on JSW Steel, which could pressurise the stock in the near future.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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I.T Stocks Outlook For The Week – 11 To 15.12.2017

I.T Stocks Outlook For The Week – 11 To 15.12.2017


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The stocks of information technology companies are expected to move in a range next week due to lack of triggers. The IT index is seen finding support at 11040 points and facing resistance at 11350 points. The stock specific movements are expected next week. The stocks of Bengaluru-based
information technology giant, Infosys Ltd, are seen consolidating following the recent rally. Infosys has gained nearly 2% during this week after the appointment of its new Chief Executive Officer.
The company, on Monday, appointed Salil S. Parekh as its chief executive officer and managing director for five years, with effect from Jan 2. Infosys Ltd's choice to appoint Parekh as its CEO was promising because of his rich global exposure and strong client relationship. Shares of Infosys
are seen facing resistance at 1,103 rupees and support at 985 rupees.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.

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