GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

Oil Stocks Outlook for the week – 15 to 19.02.2016 (PSU retailers seen upbeat on Oct-Dec performance)

Oil Stocks Outlook for the week – 15 to 19.02.2016
(PSU retailers seen upbeat on Oct-Dec performance)

Shares of the state owned oil marketing companies Indian Oil Corp Ltd,
Bharat Petroleum Corp Ltd and Hindustan Petroleum Corp Ltd are
expected to gain next week backed by good Oct-Dec earnings
performance, though a weak broad market may cap the upside.

Shares of upstream companies Oil and Natural Gas Corp Ltd and Oil
India Ltd may continue to perform poorly tracking crude oil prices and
weak market sentiments. All three oil marketing companies reported Oct-
Dec earnings after market hours yesterday.

BPCL's net profit for Oct-Dec almost tripled to 14.9 bln rupees from 5.5
bln rupees a year ago with gross refining margin growing five-fold to
$7.67 a barrel. Indian Oil reported net profit of 30.6 bln rupees in Oct-
Dec, compared with net loss of 26.4 bln rupees in the same quarter last
year. Its GRMs increased to $5.96 per barrel, from (-) $7.73 a year ago,
despite inventory loss of over $5 a barrel. Healthy margins are especially
impressive, given 13% crude price correction in Q3 (Oct-Dec).

HPCL swung into the black with a bottomline of 10.4 bln rupees in
Oct-Dec, compared with a loss of 3.2 bln rupees a year ago aided by
GRM of $7.86 per barrel, compared with (-) $0.97/barrel a year ago