GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

Auto Stocks Outlook for the week – 29.02.2016 to 04.03.2016 (Budget push to infra eyed; bias positive)

Auto Stocks Outlook for the week – 29.02.2016 to 04.03.2016
(Budget push to infra eyed; bias positive)


Shares of major auto companies are seen taking cues from the Union
Budget 2016-17 (Apr-Mar), analysts said, highlighting that hopes would
hinge on any rationalisation in excise duty on cars by Finance Minister
Arun Jaitley and steps to bring it closer to rates as envisioned in the
Goods and Services Tax. Currently, the total tax rate on small cars is
30%, large cars 42% and sports utility vehicles at 51%. These may be
lowered to converge with the GST rate, which is expected to be 18% for
small cars and 40% for large cars and SUVs.

Auto stocks are seen trading with a positive bias, tracking Budget
announcements aimed at an infrastructure push, and reviving the rural
economy, both critical to the revival of auto sales. In the later part of the
week, auto stocks will take their cues from the monthly sales numbers to
be announced by companies on Tuesday.

Shares of Maruti Suzuki India Ltd are seen taking a further hit as sales
numbers are seen falling on production impact given that the company
had to shut operations for two days at Gurgaon and Manesar plant in
Haryana due to the Jat quota agitation. Operations at Gurgaon and
Manesar plant had to be halted because the agitation affected parts supply
to the company's units. On an average, the country's largest passenger
carmaker manufactures 5,000 units a day.

Both Ashok Leyland and Mahindra and Mahindra may also trade with
positive bias on the government hiking its infrastructure spending.
Mahindra and Mahindra, which fell the least this week, is an undervalued
stock.