GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

I.T Stocks Outlook for the week – 04 to 08.05.2015

I.T Stocks Outlook for the week – 04 to 08.05.2015
Stocks of information technology companies may see a slight bounceback next week if a
government reiteration that it will not impose minimum alternate tax on capital gains made from securities transactions of foreign companies leads to a broader market recovery. Finance Minister Arun Jaitley today made the clarification in Parliament, while speaking on the Finance Bill in Lok Sabha after markets closed.

The Indian stock markets, largely driven by foreign institutional investors, have been on a losing spree for the last two weeks over media reports that the government plans to bring all foreign investors into the tax net. Foreign investors comprise a large chunk of the investment in frontline IT stocks like Infosys Ltd, Tata Consultancy Services Ltd and Wipro Ltd, and these stocks have been among the biggest losers in the market due to FIIs' withdrawal. Moreover, over the last three weeks, the sector reported its most dismal quarterly performance in recent years.
Among the latest, KPIT Technologies lost about a third of its market capitalisation after the
company reported a 28% sequential fall in its key SAP business unit for Jan-Mar. Similarly,
Infosys, which reported its Jan-Mar results Friday, it was seeing a secular trend towards lower and lower prices in traditional IT services outsourcing, and plans to cope with the situation by using more automation.

The only major IT company yet to detail its results is Tech Mahindra, which will announce its numbers only on May 26. Most companies prefer to see the poor results as an exception rather than a trend. Commenting on his company's lacklustre results, TCS Chief Executive N. Chandrasekaran said the March quarter results cannot be taken as an Indicator for future performance.


Companies firm up their IT budgets and plans for the year over the first two months, and most of the actual allotments (to discretionary projects) happens towards the end of the quarter. However, in the short term, IT stocks would participate in any bounce back in the broader market.