GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

Bank Stocks Outlook for the Week – 09 to 13.02.2015

Bank Stocks Outlook for the Week – 09 to 13.02.2015

Bank stocks are expected to continue trading with a negative bias next week tracking the broad market. Market participants will closely monitor macroeconomic data releases lined up next week before taking fresh positions in bank stocks. There could be a bounce back in the beginning of the week in Bank Nifty. The country's largest lender, State Bank of India, will detail its Oct- Dec earnings on Friday. Other lenders such as Bank of India, United Bank of India, among others, are also scheduled to detail their results next week. Stock-specific activity will continue.

Banks have been reporting weak earnings on account of asset quality deterioration and most of the remaining banks are expected to follow suit keeping bank stocks under pressure. Next week, we will also have the first data set for CPI and GDP with the new calculation. Investors will carefully monitor the numbers before building fresh positions in banks. The Central Statistics Office will release India's GDP growth estimates for Oct-Dec and advance estimates for 2014-15 (Apr-Mar) on Monday.

CSO last week introduced a new GDP series, which showed that the Indian Economy grew more than earlier estimated. Despite the dramatic change in the FY14 GDP figures, the macro

relevance may not be large. CSO will release the January CPI numbers with the revised methodology on Tuesday, which will also impact bank stocks.