GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

FMCG Stocks Outlook for the week - 02 to 06.02.2015

FMCG Stocks Outlook for the week - 02 to 06.02.2015

Stocks of fast moving consumer goods companies are likely to trade rangebound next week
tracking the overall broader market trend and lack of any major triggers. Market participants will
eye Oct-Dec earnings of Godrej Consumer Products, to be released on Thursday. We expect,
Godrej Consumer is likely to report a consolidated net profit of 2.43 bln rupees for the quarter
ended December, up 24% from a year ago, and net sales of 21.98 bln rupees, up 11% year-onyear.
Among the heavyweights, we remain positive on Hindustan Unilever, despite a 3% fall in its
stock price this week. Revival in consumer demand and fall in input costs are seen supporting
HUL in the long run.

However, we do not expect any significant upward movement due to overhang of likely changes
in government's fiscal policies on cigarettes, which could hit the company.

Tata Global Beverages Ltd yesterday reported a 29.54% on-year fall in Oct-Dec consolidated net
profit to 842.4 mln rupees, way below the 1.32-bln-rupee. As far as fundamentals are concerned,
concerns over tepid volume growth in sales may offset the fall in raw material costs for
companies.

In the broader market, Nifty and Sensex are expected to consolidate next week. The Reserve
Bank of India's bimonthly monetary policy on Tuesday will be in focus. The policy, however,
may largely turn out to be a non-event, as the central bank is widely expected to keep rates
unchanged after the surprise 25-basis-point cut announced earlier this month. Most expect the RBI to take the next rate cut only after the Union Budget.