GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

Cement Stocks Outlook for the Week – 15 To 19.12.2014

Cement Stocks Outlook for the Week – 15 To 19.12.2014

Stocks of cement companies to be subdued next week as repeated price cuts by manufacturers are expected to reflect on their earnings, even though the sales volume remains positive. After a price cut in October and prices remaining subdued through November, cement manufacturers announced another round of cuts in December. Companies like Ultratech Cement, ACC, and Ambuja Cements slashed prices by 5-20 rupees per 50 kg bag last week in key markets.

Demand-supply for cement is not good. Semi-urban and rural areas are the ones that are driving demand. It will take some more time for sales to pick up and it is difficult to put a timeline but it will take around six to nine months for sales to grow. India's industrial growth contracted 4.2%, a three-year low, in October as consumer durables output declined sharply.

In Jul-Sep, India's real gross domestic product growth slowed to 5.3% as industrial growth nearly halved during the quarter. The country's GDP had expanded 5.7% in Apr-Jun and 5.2% in Jul-Sep last year. The industry grew 2.2% in Jul-Sep against 4.2% in the previous quarter and 2.6% a year ago. Growth in the cement sector is directly related to GDP growth. 

India Cements will be in focus with the company's Vice-Chairman and Managing Director N.Srinivasan caught in the Indian Premier League controversy.