GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

Capital Goods Stocks Outlook for the week – 17 to 21.11.2014

Capital Goods Stocks Outlook for the week – 17 to 21.11.2014

With the results season coming to an end, stocks of most capital goods
companies are seen largely range bound next week, relying on cues from the
government's reforms and policy changes. Despite the company setting a lower
limit for its 2014-15 (Apr-Mar) sales guidance, Larsen & Toubro continues to be a
favourite of investors as it is seen a key benefactor of any positive macroeconomic
or regulatory changes.

L&T continues to be the best play in the Indian infrastructure space, given its
strong business model, diverse skill sets, strong execution capabilities and
relatively healthy/large balance sheet. However, most analysts are bullish on the
company for next week.

Another stock favoured by investors in the sector is engine and generator maker
Cummins India. In its earnings, the company maintained its sales guidance of 5-
10% growth and most analysts expect the company to achieve the higher end of
the target. We believe that given a strong 51% growth in exports in 1H15 (Apr-
Sep) and sequential improvement in domestic sales, sales growth will be closer
to upper end of the guidance.

One more stock that may find takers in long-term investors is Bharat Heavy
Electricals. The company yesterday reported disappointing Jul-Sep results with a
fall of nearly 73% on year in net profit to 1.25 bln rupees. Net sales for the
quarter under review were 60.27 bln rupees, down around 32% on year.

Ongoing reforms in the Indian power sector are significantly beneficial to BHEL
as it will improve demand environment in the sector. Given that there have been
very few new power projects started in past three to four years, the country will see significant power shortage in the long-term. The near-term pipeline is strong.