GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

Cement Stocks Outlook for the week – 25 to 29.01.2016 In thin band with weak bias; UltraTech eyed

Cement Stocks Outlook for the week – 25 to 29.01.2016
In thin band with weak bias; UltraTech eyed

Stocks of cement manufacturing companies are seen trading in a narrow range next
week, with the bias likely to be negative owing to persistently weak demand for the
building material. Barring green shoots in some regions and select verticals such as
road projects, any recovery in cement sector demand has largely been elusive. Pricing
aggression among players has increased, leading to frequent price disruptions.

While softening of commodity prices has brought partial respite, the pressure on
profitability of cement makers is likely to sustain in the near term till pricing
rationality and growth visibility return. Amid the gloom in the larger cement sector,
UltraTech Cement remains analysts' favourite stock. On Wednesday, the company
reported a 36.5% year-on-year rise in Oct-Dec net profit to 5.45 bln rupees, beating
the expectation of a 14% rise, led by a fall in the cost of power and fuel.

The company's consolidated net sales for the period rose 4.74% to 61.08 bln rupees,
as against the expectation of 58.8 bln rupees. UltraTech's cost is expected to fall
further, given the recent fall in pet coke prices and the scope for the company to
increase its consumption and expected freight benefits from two more split grinding
units of 1.6 mln tn per annum each from Jan-Mar. While UltraTech's cement
realisations fell 4% sequentially and currently remain weak.