GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

Capital Goods Stocks Outlook for the week – 28.12.2015 to 01.01.2016

Capital Goods Stocks Outlook for the week – 28.12.2015 to
01.01.2016
Seen tracking wider market; economic data eyed

Stocks of most capital goods companies are seen tracking broader markets next week
in the absence of stock specific actions, and are likely to remain in a range due to
weak trading volumes. However, towards the end of the week, release of macroeconomic
data such as core sector growth for November is likely to impact the shares
in the sector.

While in the near term, shares of sector bellwether Larsen & Toubro are seen trading
with a weak bias, long term investors see the current slump in the share price as a
good opportunity to build their positions. L&T's share price has corrected by 12% in
the last three months against a decline of 1.4% for the Sensex. This factor in the shortterm
weak outlook for orders as well as a slow execution cycle. We sees L&T
benefiting from the domestic opportunities in infrastructure, heavy engineering and
electrical and automation.

We believe L&T is currently in a sweet spot of the order win cycle, with competitive
intensity across several segments at low levels, Reversal in the execution cycle and
working capital from current highs should also help drive a strong recovery in cash
flows. Stocks of L&T and state-owned Bharat Heavy Electricals are seen moving

sideways to negative next week.