GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

Oil Stocks Outlook for the week – 12 to 16.10.2015 (RIL in focus on news flow, earnings; ONGC seen up)

Oil Stocks Outlook for the week – 12 to 16.10.2015
(RIL in focus on news flow, earnings; ONGC seen up)

Reliance Industries Ltd will be in focus next week as market participants will keenly track development on likely government action against the company after a report blamed it for siphoning off gas from Oil and Natural Gas Corp Ltd's block.

RIL may have to pay up to 120 bln rupees as compensation to state-owned ONGC for the alleged theft of gas from the latter's G4 and KG-DWN-98/2 blocks, if the government agrees with the draft report prepared by expert agency DeGolyer and MacNaughton, ETNOW reported on Thursday.

RIL stocks declined almost 3% in the last two trading sessions and are expected to remain muted in the near term. The news is clearly positive for ONGC, whose shares gained more than 13% in last one week, also aided by the recent uptick in crude oil price.

The price of Indian basket of crude has increased more than 10% in last one week and breached the key level of $50-a-barrel on Wednesday. Continued rise in oil prices may lift ONGC and Oil India shares further.

Also, RIL will detail its Jul-Sep earnings after market hours on Friday next week. Refining margins softened in the quarter and that may weigh on the company's numbers. Weakness in refining margins may also weigh on the shares of state-owned refiners, which may continue to trade in a range with focus shifting to companies reporting earnings.

Revision in petrol and diesel prices, due on Thursday, may have a sentimental impact on the stocks of Indian Oil Corp Ltd, Bharat Petroleum Corp Ltd, and Hindustan Petroleum Corp Ltd.

However, broadly the stocks are expected to come under pressure in the near term as margins will continue to weaken, from the highs seen in Apr- Mar.