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FMCG Stocks Outlook for the week – 02 to 06.11.2015 Range bound next week; Marico Jul-Sep results eyed

FMCG Stocks Outlook for the week – 02 to 06.11.2015
Range bound next week; Marico Jul-Sep results eyed
  www.rupeedesk.in )

Stocks of fast moving consumer goods companies are seen trading range bound next
week with Jul-Sep earnings driving the overall trend. The overhang of lower-thanexpected
earnings of index-heavyweight ITC is likely to weigh on the FMCG sector early
next week. ITC was the worst hit on the Nifty yesterday, and analysts expect some
further downside in the stock.

Stocks of ITC, the cigarette-to-soap maker, could fall towards 320 rupees in the near
term. Investors will keep a watch on earnings of United Spirits and Marico, which will be
detailed on Monday and Wednesday, respectively. United Spirits is expected to post a net
profit of 751 mln rupees, as against a net loss of 278.30 mln rupees a year ago, while net
sales are likely to increase 4% to 22.49 bln rupees.

Marico's consolidated net profit is seen rising 29% on year to 1.53 bln rupees in Jul-Sep,
and net sales are seen up 9% at 15.64 bln rupees. Dabur India and Godrej Consumer
Products reported relatively better earnings in Jul-Sep. Most analysts remain positive on
the medium-to-long term outlook for both companies and have 'Add' or 'Buy' rating on
the stocks. FMCG companies benefited from low input costs as it helped improve
margins and also gave them room to step up spend on advertising and promotions.
However, demand scenario remains gloomy.

Tthere has been some pick up in urban demand but rural demand remains weak. The outlook on rural demand is not very encouraging given the poor monsoon this year. The southwest monsoon rainfall in India was 14% below normal this year. Hence, the overall fundamentals for the FMCG sector remained mixed.