GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

Capital Goods Stocks Outlook for the week – 19 to 23.10.2015 (In range with positive bias next week)

Capital Goods Stocks Outlook for the week – 19 to 23.10.2015
In range with positive bias next week

Most capital goods companies are seen trading in range with a positive bias next week as order execution and orders wins are seen firming up going ahead. Orders for many big projects such as the Mumbai Metro lines, dedicated freight corridors, among  thers are close to be finalised and this may aid the sector, which has been reeling with investment slowdown, gain revenue visibility.

Government has increased its pace in sectors like railways, roads and power T&D ensuring smooth processes for the execution of these projects. Companies focusing on railways, defence, roads and power T&D are expected to benefit from increasing tendering. Sector bellwether Larsen & Toubro is among the most preferred stocks as analysts expect the company to be the biggest beneficiary of the pick up in order inflows.

Investors should focus on execution pick-up in 2H FY16 (Oct-Mar) and beyond. Aggressive competition has undoubtedly led to order losses in power, roads, hydrocarbons and DFC in 1H FY16, but L&T's strong backlog gives the company the luxury to avoid aggressive bidding. Apart from L&T, investors are also seen preferring shares of Siemens and KEC International. Both these companies are seen gaining for the picking in ordering activity in the railway segment.

However, Stocks of boiler-turbine-generator maker Bharat Heavy Electricals are seen shedding gains. Stocks of electrical equipment maker Crompton Greaves are also seen opening up next week on the news of that the company's board has approved sale of additional land at its Kanjurmarg unit for 4.96 bln rupees to Evie Real Estate. Below are today's closing prices, in rupees, of key capital goods stocks on the National Stock Exchange, compared with prices at the end of last week.