GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

Capital Goods Stocks Outlook for the week – 05 to 09.Oct..2015 (Weak on low demand, inventory build-up)

Capital Goods Stocks Outlook for the week – 05 to 09.Oct..2015
(Weak on low demand, inventory build-up)
  www.rupeedesk.in )

Shares of most capital goods companies are seen trading in the negative zone next week
due to a muted demand environment and inventory build-up.

Post rate cut attractive bullish up-move is witnessed so far, but the momentum is missing. The Reserve Bank of India cut its repo rate by 50 basis point on Tuesday and since then most banks have slashed their lending rates. After the rate cut, shares of capital goods stocks gained initially but corrected soon after as market participants don't expect a pickup in demand for power, industrial and construction equipment anytime soon.

We believe that the stocks will open lower on Monday and will continue declining thereafter through the week. According to the data released by the commerce and industry ministry on Wednesday, the growth in key core industries rose to 2.6% in August from 1.1% a month ago lead by cement, electricity and fertilisers companies.

Gross domestic product growth has also softened in the first half of this year. Growth slowed to 7.0% in Apr-Jun from 7.5% in Jan-Mar. However, there is no recovery in demand from cements, fertilisers and chemical sector companies.