GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

Oil Stocks Outlook for the week – 15 to 19.06.2015 (No Major triggers expected next weak)

Oil Stocks Outlook for the week – 15 to 19.06.2015
(No Major triggers expected next weak)

Low crude oil prices and robust demand resulting in strong reining margins may keep stocks of state-owned oil marketing companies upbeat in the near term while Reliance Industries Ltd's counter may also see some positive momentum aided by clarity on its telecom business.
There are no major triggers expected next weak. However, the companies are likely to revise petrol and diesel prices early next week which may have sentimental impact initially.

Indian Oil Corp Ltd, Bharat Petroleum Corp Ltd and Hindustan Petroleum Corporations Ltd the fortnightly revision due on Jun 1 and there is likely to e only a minor change next week. However, a likely weak broader market may cap the gains in stocks of the three oil retailers.
We prefer downstream oil marketing companies (OMC) even after the recent rally, given improving marketing margins, steady refining margins on existing refineries, and higher margins on new expansions.

Refining and marketing margins have been on an uptrend this year. Low oil prices have led to sharp upswing in oil products demand led by growth in US, China, and India. Refining being the primary business of RIL, higher margins will result in improved profits. The buoyant outlook for margins may reflect in its stocks. Also, the company's chairman and managing
director today said its telecom operations will be launched by December and the ongoing capex programme will start yielding results from next year.