GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

Bank Stocks Outlook for the week – 15 to 19.06.2015 (Expected to trade with a positive bias next week)

Bank Stocks Outlook for the week – 15 to 19.06.2015
(Expected to trade with a positive bias next week)

Bank stocks are expected to trade with a positive bias next week and are likely to outperform the broad market, analysts said. Consumer price index-based inflation for May, which was just a tad above market expectations, is expected to be a key factor that can impact banks as the Reserve Bank of India benchmarks its monetary policy actions to CPI data. As per data released today, May consumer price indexed inflation stood at 5.01%, just marginally above the Cogencis poll estimate of 5.00%.

The RBI has already cut its repo rate by 75 basis points since January, and indicated in the Jun 2 policy statement that the space for more cuts was limited as it has increased its January 2016 CPI inflation expectation to 6.00% from 5.50% earlier.

The comments made by Finance Minister Arun Jaitley after his meeting with heads of banks earlier today were largely positive for the sector. Jaitley said the trend in bad loan ratio of banks was improving and that the government was closely monitoring the situation. He also said that public sector banks put up a strong case for infusion of additional capital. Banks will be holding talks with the government till Jul 3 regarding capital infusion.