GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

Oil Stocks Outlook for the week – 20 to 24.04.2015

Oil Stocks Outlook for the week – 20 to 24.04.2015
  www.rupeedesk.in )

Focus will be on the counter of Reliance Industries Ltd next week after the company reported betterthan- expected numbers for the quarter ended March, led by expansion in its refining margins. -The company's gross refining margins hit a two-year high of $10.1 in Jan-Mar helping it post an all-time high net profit of 62.43 bln rupees, up 11% on year.

Lower fuel costs and firm gasoline, gasoil and naphtha cracks boosted GRMs, the company said. RIL's turnover for the quarter declined 33.3% year-on-year to 708.63 bln rupees from 1.1 trln a year ago due to a sharp fall in crude oil and product prices.

The stock may open slightly up on Monday but most market participants are of the view that
gains are unlikely to sustain through the week because most of the quarterly performance is already priced in. Also, worries remain over the company's upstream business, which continued to witness decline in gas volumes while crude prices remained low. Gas production from the flagship KG-D6 fell 4% to 11.3 mscmd in Jan-Mar.

The company's continued confrontation with the government over KG-D6 and the number of
arbitrations will also weigh on sentiments. Shares of state-owned oil marketing companies may continue to trade in a range since no immediate triggers are likely. Trade will depend on news flow and movement in crude oil prices, which moved up this week after being stable in the last few weeks.

Further spike in oil prices could weigh on the stocks of Indian Oil Corp Ltd, Hindustan Petroleum Corp Ltd and Bharat Petroleum Corp Ltd. However, that will be seen positive for Oil and Natural Gas Corp Ltd and Oil India Ltd, which were the top gainers among oil stocks this week.


Reports that the government may exempt the two upstream companies from bearing the subsidy on cooking gas also boosted these stocks and may keep sentiments positive next week.