GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING

Bank Stocks Outlook for the Week – 22 to 26.09.2014

Bank Stocks Outlook for the Week – 22 to 26.09.2014

Bank stocks are expected to move with a positive bias next week, We seeing support for
Bank Nifty at 15997 and resistance at 16309.

Yesterday, certain banking stocks fell on profit-booking due to a general lack of triggers,
with State Bank of India, Punjab National Bank and Bank of Baroda being the biggest
losers of the sector, losing 0.8-2.1%. Stocks indices ended flat, reversing most of their
intraday gains.

The Bank Nifty settled at 16152.15 yesterday, registering a marginal 0.03% decline from
Thursday, but 0.63% down on week. ICICI Bank is looking good for next
week.Yesterday, ICICI Bank ended at 1,572.20 rupees on the National Stock Exchange,
0.46% higher from Thursday and 0.50% higher on week.

However, private banks had exhausted all the earnings levers, and were unlikely to see
earnings upgrade in the near term unless loan growth recovered meaningfully. Hence, we
relatively prefer large PSU banks like SBI (State Bank of India) and PNB (Punjab
National Bank) which are in a sweet spot as they could benefit from lower credit costs
leading to earnings upgrades going forward. We are overweight on Bank of India given
the cheap multiples and advantage to any 'proper' Capitalisation effort by the government.